Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.42
	2.94	2.81	2.45
	1.42	4.13	7.51	Watch
	2.82	2.88	2.43
	3.15	2.95	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.07)	3.13 ↑ (3)	3.42 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
38.3%

Draw
32.2%

Montañesa
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montañesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montañesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lleida - Montañesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Litwin S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Montañesa could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Lleida	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Lleida - Peralada	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Vic - Lleida	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lleida - LHospitalet	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Manresa - Lleida	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLLT
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Montañesa - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	LEscala - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTTL

Lleida - Montañesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide