Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Numancia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.79	3.5	3.95
	1.7	3.65	4.1
	1.66	3.77	5.11
	1.67	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.38)	3.58 ↑ (3.12)	4.45 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
53.8%

Draw
25.6%

Numancia
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

34.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Lleida - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lleida will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Numancia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lleida: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Numancia is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Lleida will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lleida won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.05.22	Numancia - Lleida	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Brea - Lleida	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Lleida - Huesca B	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Ejea - Lleida	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.05.22	Numancia - Lleida	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Numancia - Ebro	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Teruel - Numancia	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Numancia - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.05.22	Numancia - Lleida	1:2

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