Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lleida		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.56	3.75	5.2
	1.58	3.59	5.65
	1.58	3.68	5.45
	1.57	3.72	5.67
	1.56	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)	3.7 ↑ (3.37)	5.36 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
58.3%

Draw
24.7%

Peña Deportiva
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

27.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Lleida - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Solbes J. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Perez F. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Naranjo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Peña Deportiva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lleida is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.11.24	CE Europa - Lleida	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Lleida - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Lleida - Mallorca B	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Elche Ilicitano - Lleida	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Lleida - Alzira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.11.24	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Andratx - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Peña Deportiva - Espanyol B	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Torrent - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Peña Deportiva - Valencia B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.02.24	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	1:3
08.10.23	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	3:2
12.02.23	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	0:0
25.09.22	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	0:0
17.04.22	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	1:1
28.11.21	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	2:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
13.10.21	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	0:1

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