Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.88	2.8
	2.7	3.1	2.75
	2.65	3	2.7	Watch
	2.69	2.98	2.77
	2.69	2.84	2.74	Watch
	2.6	3	2.62	Watch
	2.71	3.08	2.77
	2.65	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.21)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	2.73 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
34.7%

Draw
31.2%

Barakaldo
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barakaldo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barakaldo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Lleida - Barakaldo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lleida will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 20. Campins J. 2. Estacio X. 21. Fuentes M. 10. Gene A. 22. Iglesias A. 11. Iglesias D. Y. 8. Liameed Q. 9. Naranjo G. 15. Opere M. 19. Perez F.	1. Tena J. (G) 12. Artetxe M. 22. Bujan U. 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 8. Huidobro J. 19. Isuskiza V. 6. Naveira U. 11. Revilla A. 10. Torre I. 14. Txoperena U.
Substitutes
3. Cortijo F. 7. Garcia I. 17. Garcia U. 6. Isah M. 23. Izquierdo Y. 14. Juanan 25. LLadonosa A. (G) 12. Rubio O. 5. Solbes J.	23. Bilbao L. 16. Lopez O. 20. Martinez J. 5. Molina E. 15. Muguruza A. 7. Pedernales I. 13. Perez U. (G) 9. Sannadi M. 18. Santiago P. 21. Uriarte K. 17. Vicandi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Fuentes M. 🟨,
20', Campins J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Txoperena U. ⚽,
39', Txoperena U. 🟨,
41', Iglesias D. Y. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Iglesias A. ↓, Juanan ↑,
46', Perez F. ↓, Cortijo F. ↑,
64', Bujan U. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
64', Txoperena U. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
64', Liameed Q. 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Santiago P. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Cortijo F. ⚽,
73', Naveira U. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
73', Revilla A. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
74', de Jesus B. 🟨,
75', Estacio X. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
76', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
80', Sannadi M. 🟨,
82', Fuentes M. ↓, Solbes J. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Santiago P. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.10.24	Lleida - Mallorca B	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Elche Ilicitano - Lleida	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Lleida - Alzira	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Olot - Lleida	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Lleida - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLTL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Barcelona B - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	Barakaldo - Zamora	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
29.05.16	Barakaldo - Lleida	1:1
21.05.16	Lleida - Barakaldo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.03.13	Barakaldo - Lleida	0:1

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