Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida) 🌤️ ...


	Lleida		San Cristóbal

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.82	2.88
	2.49	2.82	2.86
	2.52	2.88	2.92
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.47	2.82	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	2.88 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
36.3%

Draw
32.3%

San Cristóbal
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

31.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

San Cristóbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Cristóbal than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Lleida - San Cristóbal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Lleida is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, San Cristóbal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Cristóbal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lleida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	San Cristobal CP	8	2	2	4	7:19	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.04.26	Cornellà - Lleida	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Lleida - Badalona	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Montañesa - Lleida	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lleida - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Peralada - Lleida	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- CP San Cristóbal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
02.04.26	San Cristóbal - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	San Cristóbal - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mollerussa - San Cristóbal	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Can Vidalet - San Cristóbal	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	San Cristóbal - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	San Cristóbal - Lleida	1:1

Lleida - San Cristóbal