Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Camp d'Esports (Lleida)


	Lleida		Zaragoza B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.75	3	5
	1.83	3.13	4.92
	1.82	3.2	4.45
	1.87	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.27)	3.1 ↑ (2.7)	4.51 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lleida
50.3%

Draw
29.5%

Zaragoza B
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

33.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

33.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lleida's performance.

Zaragoza B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lleida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lleida - Zaragoza B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lleida won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lleida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lleida won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lleida won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.03.23	Olot - Lleida	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Saguntino - Lleida	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Lleida - Terrassa	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Manresa - Lleida	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Lleida - Formentera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTW
- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.03.23	Zaragoza B - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Manresa - Zaragoza B	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Zaragoza B - Formentera	2:3 ✺
26.02.23	Peña Deportiva - Zaragoza B	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Zaragoza B - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.11.22	Zaragoza B - Lleida	1:0
Club Friendly
13.08.21	Zaragoza B - Lleida	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.18	Zaragoza B - Lleida	1:2
27.08.17	Lleida - Zaragoza B	1:1
18.01.15	Zaragoza B - Lleida	1:1
31.08.14	Lleida - Zaragoza B	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.13	Zaragoza B - Lleida	1:3

Lleida - Zaragoza B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide