Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Lleida

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.2	2.95	2.35	Watch
	2.97	2.77	2.23
	3.29	2.76	2.42
	3.16	2.95	2.37
	3.15	2.85	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.5)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.33 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
29%

Draw
32%

Lleida
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Saguntino's form might have worsened.

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lleida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Saguntino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lleida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Saguntino - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 3.

Saguntino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lleida is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saguntino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lleida have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Saguntino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.01.24	Badalona Futur - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Atlético Saguntino - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Manresa - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Atlético Saguntino - Valencia B	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWL
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.01.24	Lleida - Alzira	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.24	Lleida - Andorra	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.01.24	Terrassa - Lleida	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lleida - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Lleida - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.09.23	Lleida - Atlético Saguntino	1:0
12.03.23	Atlético Saguntino - Lleida	4:0
23.10.22	Lleida - Atlético Saguntino	1:1
11.02.18	Atlético Saguntino - Lleida	1:0
24.09.17	Lleida - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
18.02.17	Atlético Saguntino - Lleida	1:0
02.10.16	Lleida - Atlético Saguntino	2:1

Atlético Saguntino - Lleida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide