Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Llerenense		Puebla de la Calzada

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.30	4.00
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.81	3.39	4.08
	1.8	3.48	4.07	Watch
	1.79	3.35	4
	1.73	3.3	4.42
	1.75	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.35 ↑ (3.31)	4.07 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
50.9%

Draw
26.9%

Puebla de la Calzada
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Playoffs and 6th).

Puebla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Llerenense carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Llerenense has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llerenense against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Llerenense	8	6	2	0	10:2	8	20
6	Puebla	8	3	2	3	12:10	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.10.26	Gévora - Llerenense	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Zafra - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Villanovense - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Llerenense	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Montehermoso - Llerenense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWLT
- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.09.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Quintana	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.05.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Llerenense	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Montijo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.05.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Llerenense	4:1
04.01.26	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0
01.03.25	Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1
19.10.24	Puebla de la Calzada - Llerenense	0:3

Llerenense - Puebla de la Calzada