Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.15	3.75
	1.89	3.17	3.7
	1.92	3.3	3.8
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.9	3.22	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)	3.17 ↑ (3.17)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
47.4%

Draw
28.5%

Pueblonuevo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

30.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Puebla de la Calzada - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Puebla is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pueblonuevo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pueblonuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Puebla could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Puebla	5	2	2	1	8:4	4	8
16	Pueblonuevo	5	0	3	2	5:10	-5	3

Last Results with these Odds

Pueblonuevo - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 24.8%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Montijo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Diocesano - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Don Benito - Puebla de la Calzada	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Pueblonuevo - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cabeza del Buey - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0
06.04.25	Pueblonuevo - Puebla de la Calzada	1:0

Puebla de la Calzada - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide