Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Montijo |
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Puebla de la Calzada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.05 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.11 |
3.11 |
3.38 |
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 |
1.67 |
3.53 |
4.84 |
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1.91 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
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2 |
3.04 |
3.67 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.75) |
3.17 ↓
(3.25) |
3.8 ↓
(4.46) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montijo
47% | Draw
28.9% | Puebla de la Calzada
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Montijo - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 1 - 0, Chema ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).In recent matches, Montijo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Montijo is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Puebla de la Calzada - the odds 4.46 are the expected chance of winning is 20.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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