Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Lobos ULMX

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.92
	1.65	3.70	4.87	Watch
	1.69	3.88	4.59	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.68 ↑ (3.34)	4.58 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
54.9%

Draw
25%

Lobos ULMX
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Apodaca's performance.

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Real Apodaca - Lobos ULMX Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Real Apodaca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lobos ULMX has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lobos ULMX may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Apodaca is a strong favorite.

We predict that Real Apodaca will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.09.25	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Real Apodaca	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Real Apodaca - Santiago	3:2 penalties ✺
06.09.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Real Apodaca - Canamy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.09.25	Lobos ULMX - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Santiago - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lobos ULMX - Zacatepec Siglo	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Canamy - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lobos ULMX - Ciervos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLTW

Real Apodaca - Lobos ULMX: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide