Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Lobos ULMX		La Piedad

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.2	2.05
	3.32	3.47	2.01	Watch
	3.28	3.48	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.74)	3.34 ↑ (3.03)	2.05 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
27.7%

Draw
27.5%

La Piedad
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos ULMX's form might have worsened.

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Piedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Piedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lobos ULMX - La Piedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Siqueiros C. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Ochoa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 0 - 3, Rodriguez Rodriguez E. O. ⚽,
56', 0 - 4, Rodriguez Rodriguez E. O. ⚽,
59', 0 - 5, Reyes E. ⚽,
79', 0 - 6, Rodea R. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos ULMX won 1.

Recent matches Lobos ULMX is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Piedad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lobos ULMX won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos ULMX won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.25	Petroleros Salamanca - Lobos ULMX	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lobos ULMX - Halcones	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lobos ULMX - Canamy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW
- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.25	La Piedad - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Colima - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	La Piedad - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - La Piedad	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Canamy - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.11.24	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:1
16.03.24	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	0:3
14.10.23	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:0
25.02.23	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	3:2
02.10.22	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	2:1
07.02.22	La Piedad - Lobos ULMX	1:2
10.10.21	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	0:1

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