Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Locri		Real Agro Aversa

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.25
	1.93	3.67	3.19
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.87	3.9	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.54)	3.84 ↑ (2.82)	3.38 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Locri
49.7%

Draw
23.5%

Real Agro Aversa
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

32%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Locri's performance.

Real Agro Aversa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Agro Aversa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Locri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Agro Aversa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Locri - Real Agro Aversa Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Locri will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Real Agro Aversa will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Locri: 75.7% – 100%.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs) and 9).

Locri in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Agro Aversa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Agro Aversa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Locri will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Locri 1909
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.12.22	Sancataldese - Locri	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Locri - Acireale	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Lamezia Terme - Locri	1:3 ✺
27.11.22	Locri - Canicattì	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Locri - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWWW
- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Mariglianese	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Catania - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Trapani	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Licata - Real Agro Aversa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTWL

Locri - Real Agro Aversa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide