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Current Win Probability
Lokeren 44.4%
Draw 25%
Excelsior Virton 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.5%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
25%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokeren's form might have worsened.
Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior Virton's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokeren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excelsior Virton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokeren - Excelsior Virton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
56. Vervacke S. (G) 19. Lloci M. 3. Doudaev D. R. 29. Spegelaere A. (C) 16. Palacios J. 14. Janssen T. 8. Simnica L. 7. Brrou A. 10. Pau M. 55. Van Aerschot S. 11. Mabanza V.
1. De Schrevel C. (G) 22. Assengue S. 4. Kari E. 24. Lambotte H. 3. Tchaptchet A. 18. Ntenda J. 19. Goudani I. 13. Dembele A. (C) 8. Arib G. 11. Hachem A. 10. Wade P.
Substitutes
9. Aigboje J. 21. Ben Seghir S. 2. Denuit R. 80. Duku M. 34. Mazouz J. 20. Ola-Adebomi A. 27. Van den Bergh R. 61. Van israel V. (G) 26. Vervaque J.
16. Closset N. (G) 23. Diop A. 6. Guillaume M. 9. Inchaud M. 14. Maiorano L. 2. Mantsounga B. 25. Simba W. 17. Tormin T. 21. Valerio A.
Coaches
Vreven S.
Brncic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Goudani I. 🟨,
44', Assengue S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Goudani I. ↓, Valerio A. ↑,
52', Dembele A. 🟨,
63', Janssen T. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Wade P. ⚽,
66', Arib G. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
66', Wade P. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Pau M. (A),
78', Simnica L. ↓, Ola-Adebomi A. ↑,
78', Mabanza V. ↓, Duku M. ↑,
78', Pau M. 🟨,
84', Ntenda J. ↓, Mantsounga B. ↑,
85', Brrou A. ↓, Ben Seghir S. ↑,
87', Mantsounga B. 🟨,
90+4', Janssen T. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
90+6', Mantsounga B. ↓, Guillaume M. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League (Promotion: )).
In recent outings, Lokeren has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Virton shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Lokeren may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Lokeren is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lokeren has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokeren against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
Watch
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Vervacke S. (G) 
Palacios J. 
Simnica L. 
Pau M. 
Mabanza V. 
Kari E. 
Aigboje J. 
Ola-Adebomi A. 
Diop A. 
Maiorano L. 
Mantsounga B. 
Brncic D. 
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