Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Septemvri Simitli

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	2	3.2	3.1
	1.92	3.25	3.55
	2.01	3.34	3.75
	1.99	3.4	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.3 (3.3)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
45.8%

Draw
27.5%

Septemvri Simitli
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

20.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Septemvri Simitli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Simitli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Septemvri Simitli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Recent matches Gorna Oryahovitsa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Septemvri Simitli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gorna Oryahovitsa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gorna Oryahovitsa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.11.20	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:3 ✺
23.10.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Vitosha Bistritsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:1 ✺
21.09.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WTTWL
- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.11.20	Septemvri Simitli - Sportist Svoge	0:1 ✺
26.10.20	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Simitli	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.20	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Simitli	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.09.20	Yantra Gabrovo - Septemvri Simitli	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Septemvri Simitli - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

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