Match Info

Date: 22 July 2021, Thursday


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Slovácko

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.6
	2.49	3	2.6
	2.52	2.99	2.63
	2.45	3	2.62
	2.54	3.32	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.95)	3.12 ↓ (3.42)	2.64 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
36.7%

Draw
29%

Slovácko
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

18.5%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovácko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slovácko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Slovácko is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Club Friendly
09.07.21	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
05.07.21	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
30.06.21	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2 ✺
26.06.21	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
22.06.21	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Simitli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLW
- 1. FC Slovácko
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Paksi SE - Slovácko	1:2 ✺
09.07.21	Cracovia - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
02.07.21	Orenburg - Slovácko	2:2 ✺
29.06.21	Slovácko - Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš	3:0 ✺
26.06.21	Slovácko - Prostějov	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW

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