Match Info

efbet League - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.8	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4	6.71
	1.80	3.34	4.36	Watch
	1.53	3.97	6.21	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)	3.82 ↑ (3.34)	5.78 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
59.4%

Draw
24.5%

Beroe Stara Zagora
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Plovdiv's performance.

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 13. Lucas Ryan 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 7. Idriz S. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 99. Lamy J. 9. Perea J.	1. Arthur (G) 25. Johny 3. Salomoni J. (C) 4. Costantini F. 27. Dabo A. 10. Nene 18. Rusenov S. 21. Salido Tajero A. 11. Ferrer I. 15. Alarcon F. 9. Valbuena Y.
Substitutes
11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 14. Iliev D. 44. Nikolaev N. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)	17. Dual W. 12. Georgiev M. 22. Georgiev M. 2. Longinotti V. 6. Mitev I. 7. Pineda J. 99. Quintero V. (G) 23. Sonha T. 16. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Kosic D.	Sageras A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Cova A. ⚽,
43', Perea J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Idriz S. 🟨,
54', Dabo A. 🟨,
57', Valbuena Y. 🟨,
66', Dabo A. ↓, Sonha T. ↑,
66', Ruskov M. ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
66', Ali E. ↓, Iliev D. ↑,
67', Valbuena Y. 🟨,
73', Espinoza E. 🟨,
74', Ivanov I. 🟨,
78', Lamy J. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
78', Ivanov I. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
88', Rusenov S. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
88', Nene ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
90+4', Umarbaev P. ↓, Velev A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beroe has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Beroe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	Botev Plovdiv awarded ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
17.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WTWT
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Vitosha Bistritsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.25	CSKA Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:1 ✺
20.10.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Levski Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
13.12.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.12.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2
10.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.04.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.10.23	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2

Upcoming Matches