Match Info

efbet League - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Lubomirov L. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.90	6.00	Watch
	1.55	3.90	5.25
	1.57	3.95	5.80
	1.55	4.04	6.49
	1.61	3.64	5.95	Watch
	1.62	3.55	5.9
	1.55	3.84	5.95	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	5.84 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
59.5%

Draw
24.5%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA 1948 Sofia's performance.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA 1948 Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - CSKA 1948 (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CSKA 1948 Sofia will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bozhev A. (G) 2. Medina D. 4. Hoffmann A. 5. Benamar B. 15. Soltani F. 8. Zemzemi M. 33. Cuellar H. 67. Frederic 30. Meyer J. 11. Rusev G. 9. Iliev A.	1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 4. Chindris A. 13. Lucas Ryan 5. Pavlov T. 7. Idriz S. 12. Ali E. 22. Ivanov I. 99. Lamy J. 39. Umarbaev P. 29. Longville C.
Substitutes
93. Diallo M. 18. Dimitrov B. 77. Franco E. 96. Grivic D. 23. Krebs F. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 14. Strinski K. 71. Tarasenko D. 10. Tsonev B. 34. Vitanov P.	30. Aleksandrov A. 3. Ali D. 10. Dzhelepov Y. 26. Kirashki D. 11. Leijten R. 44. Petrovic M. 6. Trdan M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Lucas Ryan 🟨,
34', Cova A. 🟨,
35', Umarbaev P. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Tsonev B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ali D. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
69', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
69', Meyer J. ↓, Vitanov P. ↑,
76', Cuellar H. 🟨,
84', Longville C. ↓, Petrovic M. ↑,
84', Idriz S. ↓, Aleksandrov A. ↑,
84', Tsonev B. ↓, Tarasenko D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Franco E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 5.

In recent matches, CSKA 1948 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 1.8:0.3).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27% Lok. Plovdiv: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22
12	Lok. Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5:13	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.08.26	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos	1:2 AET ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.26	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWT
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.08.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.03.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:5
20.09.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	4:0
25.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1
08.03.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1
19.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2
21.04.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
26.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1

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