Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 23

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.52
	5.74	3.98	1.50	Watch
	2.49	2.89	2.76
	2.05	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.12)	3.19 ↑ (2.9)	2.55 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
30.6%

Draw
30.8%

Rustavi
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotivi Tbilisi's form might have worsened.

Rustavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rustavi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotivi Tbilisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rustavi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lokomotivi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rustavi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotivi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rustavi (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotivi (votes: 1 - 50%). Rustavi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nanava L. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 4. Bukia D. 24. Karimov M. 22. Khositashvili V. 38. Assaye D. 6. Chileshe F. 9. Menteshashvili L. (C) 11. Kalandadze L. 19. Kokhreidze L. 14. Amoako D.	29. Shovnadze L. (G) 2. Andghuladze S. 20. Dobranskyi D. 4. Guilherme Silva 40. Ubilava D. 8. Kakashvili K. (C) 13. Gujabidze A. 22. Nakano Y. 10. Osei P. 17. Jibril B. 11. Kessi S.
Substitutes
39. Asanidze S. (G) 30. Dvalishvili S. 32. Gogatishvili G. 34. Gogoli D. 21. Kvelashvili N. 13. Metreveli L. 3. Molashvili T. 20. Todua G. 7. Turkia A.	32. Chkheidze G. 5. Chokheli L. 28. Guliashvili T. 18. Japaridze N. 27. Kapanadze M. 1. Kardava S. (G) 3. Patsatsia V. 6. Sichinava Z. 25. Sulakvelidze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Osei P. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Kokhreidze L. ⚽,
39', Assaye D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Shashiashvili S. ↓, Gogatishvili G. ↑,
47', Nanava L. 🟨,
50', 1 - 2, Nakano Y. (Pen),
55', 2 - 2, Menteshashvili L. (Pen),
58', Jibril B. ↓, Japaridze N. ↑,
63', Amoako D. ↓, Kvelashvili N. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Bukia D. ⚽, Menteshashvili L. (A),
75', Kakashvili K. ↓, Sulakvelidze G. ↑,
80', Assaye D. ↓, Molashvili T. ↑,
85', Ubilava D. ↓, Kapanadze M. ↑,
85', Gujabidze A. ↓, Chkheidze G. ↑,
90', Kalandadze L. ↓, Turkia A. ↑,
90', Guilherme Silva 🟨,
90+1', Khositashvili V. 🟨,
90+5', Nanava L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 2.

Lokomotivi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rustavi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lokomotivi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lokomotivi won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotivi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.09.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTW
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.09.25	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Samtredia - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Rustavi - Merani Martvili	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rustavi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Gonio - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.25	Rustavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1
06.04.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	2:2
22.11.24	Rustavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1
15.09.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	4:1
28.05.24	Rustavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0
13.04.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Rustavi	1:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
20.09.19	Rustavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1

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