Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)


	Lommel		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.75
	1.55	4.42	5.34
	26.12	4.01	1.28	Watch
	1.6	4.06	5.08	Watch
	1.58	4.04	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (1.62)	4.13 ↑ (4.1)	4.36 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
27.2%

Draw
37.4%

Genk U23
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lommel's form might have worsened.

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk U23's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lommel - Genk U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lommel (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lommel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 14. Tolinsson J. 34. Oware H. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 6. Pelupessy J. 93. Vancsa Z. 10. Reyners T. 98. Salah M. 30. Seuntjens R.	28. Brughmans L. (C) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. 73. Mbavu E. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 60. Lazar S. E. 87. Yasuda K. 56. De Wannemacker A. 11. Oyen L. 50. Beniangba V. 23. Bibout A.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Van Rumst J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Salah M. 🟨,
29', Bibout A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽, Lazar S. E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Pierre K. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Salah M. ⚽, Seuntjens R. (A),
62', Lazar S. E. ↓, Nzoko D. ↑,
63', Vancsa Z. ↓, van Duiven J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Bibout A. ⚽, Beniangba V. (A),
70', Schoofs L. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
71', Pelupessy J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
75', Beniangba V. 🟨,
75', Beniangba V. ↓, Haroun K. ↑,
75', Seuntjens R. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
84', Rommens N. 🟨,
89', Brughmans L. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 3.

Lommel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Lommel is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Lommel will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 2.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.09.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Lommel - Lokeren	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Francs Borains - Lommel	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	RWDM Brussels - Lommel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWT
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
13.09.25	Genk U23 - Kortrijk	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Brugge U23 - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Genk U23 - Seraing	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Beveren - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Genk U23 - Lierse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.04.25	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0
25.10.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:4
25.02.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	1:1
01.12.23	Lommel - Genk U23	0:1
21.04.23	Genk U23 - Lommel	2:3
12.03.23	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0
18.11.22	Lommel - Genk U23	2:1

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