Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Pirard Q. (Bel)


	Lommel		Standard Liège U23

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7	Watch
	1.31	5	6.75
	1.35	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.32	5.59	8.53
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.33	5.2	7.4	Watch
	1.3	5.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	5.21 ↑ (5.15)	7.33 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
69.8%

Draw
17.6%

Standard Liège U23
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Standard Liège U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Lommel - Standard Liège U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Lommel will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. De Busser J. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 38. Amankwah Y. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 15. Schoofs L. 8. Dermane K. 23. Granell A. 32. Talvitie J. 10. Vetokele I. 30. Vancsa Z.	40. Epolo M. (G) 2. Lawrence H. 29. Dierckx D. 25. Hautekiet I. 31. Dodeigne N. 24. Ziani I. 27. Paulo da Silva T. 26. Mawete N. 55. Ghalidi B. 9. Benjdida S. 17. Ruvalcaba J.
Substitutes
11. Ahmed Fatah A. 19. Arthur Sales 7. Henkens R. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 3. Nizet R. 21. Santos A. 4. Wuytens S.	46. Berberi R. 5. Diaw B. 11. El Fanis M. 36. Godfroid M. (G) 77. Sahabo H. 6. Simicic M. 4. Tory S.
Coaches
Bould S.	Laumann J.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ National Division 1).

Recent matches Lommel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Standard U23 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lommel is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lommel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.10.23	RFC Liège - Lommel	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Lommel - Francs Borains	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Dender EH - Lommel	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Lommel - Deinze	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- Standard Liège U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.09.23	Standard Liège U23 - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Brugge U23 - Standard Liège U23	4:1 ✺
17.09.23	Standard Liège U23 - Oostende	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Beveren - Standard Liège U23	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Standard Liège U23 - RFC Liège	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.05.23	Lommel - Standard Liège U23	6:1
24.02.23	Standard Liège U23 - Lommel	1:0
17.12.22	Standard Liège U23 - Lommel	0:3
18.09.22	Lommel - Standard Liège U23	0:1

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