Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		Lommel

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.2	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	1.75	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.84	4.08	4.5
	1.9	3.75	3.86	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4
	1.7	3.74	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	4.01 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
51.7%

Draw
24.8%

Lommel
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

24.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dender EH's performance.

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lommel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dender EH that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lommel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Dender EH - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lommel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 5. Marijnissen L. 18. Rodes N. 7. Goncalves B. 70. Sambu M. 24. Viltard M. 17. Mbamba N. 11. Oratmangoen R. 77. Nsimba B. (C) 90. Berte M. 16. Kvet R.	23. Pieklak M. (G) 3. Eyoma T. 5. Wouters D. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 79. De Grand S. 9. van Duiven J. 18. Lopez L. 6. Pelupessy J. 10. Reyners T. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 30. Seuntjens R.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 21. Cools K. 45. Daali A. 6. De Kerf B. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 88. Ferraro F. 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 9. Toshevski D.	1. Ivezic N. (G) 34. Oware H. 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 98. Salah M. 14. Tolinsson J. 93. Vancsa Z. 65. Vandecraen E. 11. van Duiven R.
Coaches
Ferrera Y.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lopez L. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
62', Viltard M. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
62', Kvet R. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
72', van Duiven J. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
72', Reyners T. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
75', Nsimba B. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
75', Mbamba N. ↓, De Kerf B. ↑,
75', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
76', Banguera Riascos J. A. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
77', Oware H. 🟨,
81', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Daali A. ↑,
85', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
89', Salah M. 🟨,
90+3', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2.

Dender EH is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lommel is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dender EH might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F. (Injury) Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Hrncar D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lommel: Seigers R. (Inactive) Stevanovic F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L. (Injury) Marijnissen L. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lommel SK	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Lommel - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dender EH - Cercle Brugge	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Lommel SK
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Lommel - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lommel	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:1 ✺
27.04.26	RFC Liège - Lommel	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Lommel - RFC Liège	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Lommel - Dender EH	3:2
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.02.24	Lommel - Dender EH	2:2
16.09.23	Dender EH - Lommel	3:1
06.05.23	Dender EH - Lommel	2:1
03.03.23	Lommel - Dender EH	1:0
28.01.23	Lommel - Dender EH	1:1
12.08.22	Dender EH - Lommel	1:4

Dender EH - Lommel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide