Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 8

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Londrina		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.73	3.2	4.7	Watch
	1.69	3.4	4.84
	1.72	3.43	4.68	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.67	3.4	4.88	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	3.31 ↑ (3.22)	4.66 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
53%

Draw
27.5%

Azuriz
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Londrina - Azuriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 2. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Pablo 4. Wallace (C)	1. Vitor Hugo (G) 3. Ary Garcia 8. Cerezo 10. Edinho 11. Felipe Dini 4. Lucas Adell 7. Marco Bustillo 9. Matheus Guimaraes 6. Matheus Marques 2. Thiago Henrique 5. Xavier (C)
Substitutes
17. Breno Silva 14. Caina S. D. S. 24. Carlao 12. Elzo (G) 22. Icaro 16. Joao Carlos 19. Kevyn Santos 15. Marco Antonio 18. Paredes M. 21. Robson Duarte 20. Wellington 13. Yago Lincoln	17. Augusto Galvan 13. Bruno 20. Daniel Dias 14. Gabriel Lima 18. Gabriel Mineiro 15. Matheus Obina 16. Samir 19. Samuel Costa 23. Yuri (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Lucas Marques ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Caio 🟨,
57', Felipe Dini ↓, Samuel Costa ↑,
63', Edinho ↓, Augusto Galvan ↑,
63', Xavier ↓, Matheus Obina ↑,
63', Marco Bustillo ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
74', Gustavo Franca ↓, Wellington ↑,
78', Pablo 🟨,
80', Henrique ↓, Robson Duarte ↑,
80', Joao Vitor ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
81', Matheus Marques ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Matheus Guimaraes ⚽,
90+5', Lucas Marques ↓, Icaro ↑,
90+5', Pablo ↓, Kevyn Santos ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Caio ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Azuriz have a series of home games.

In this match Londrina is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0 ✺
22.01.25	Cianorte - Londrina	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Londrina - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWL
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.25	Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	FC Cascavel - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
23.01.25	Azuriz - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.02.24	Londrina - Azuriz	5:2
15.01.23	Londrina - Azuriz	1:1
29.01.22	Azuriz - Londrina	0:1
17.03.21	Londrina - Azuriz	1:1

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