Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Disney+


	Operário Ferroviario		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.9
	1.85	3.15	4.45	Watch
	1.9	3.25	5.11
	1.83	3.26	4.73
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.88	3.13	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	4.54 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
50.1%

Draw
29.4%

Londrina
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Operário Ferroviario - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 44. Klaus 6. Moraes 20. Vinicius Diniz 5. Indio 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 92. Pablo	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 2. Weverton 3. Yago Lincoln 4. Wallace (C) 6. Rafael Monteiro 8. Lucas Marques 5. Andre Luiz 32. Joao Tavares 19. Rodriguez E. 9. Bruno Santos 11. Iago Teles
Substitutes
4. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 26. Maguinho 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.	17. Andre Cardoso 13. Andre Dhominique 28. Caio Maia 53. Chumbinho 20. Fabiano 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 77. Juninho 21. Kaue Leonardo 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 18. Paulinho Moccelin 96. Thalis
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Boschilia ⚽,
7', Iago Teles 🟨,
10', Rafael Monteiro 🟨,
23', Boschilia 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Aylon ⚽,
38', Pablo 🟨,
38', Wallace 🟨,
45+3', Indio ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wallace ↓, Heron ↑,
50', Andre Luiz 🟨,
60', 3 - 0, Boschilia ⚽, Mikael Doka (A),
61', Joao Tavares ↓, Thalis ↑,
63', Yago Lincoln 🟨,
72', Pereira H. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
73', Aylon ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
73', Iago Teles ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
73', Rodriguez E. ↓, Caio Maia ↑,
79', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
79', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 3.

Operário PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Londrina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Operário PR is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive) Zuluaga J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Londrina: Caio Rafael (Inactive) Kevyn (Yellow Cards) Thalis (Inactive)

There are questionable in Operário PR: Miranda (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.4:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTLT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Londrina - Ceará	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Londrina - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Londrina - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
07.03.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 penalties
28.02.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:0
07.01.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
18.03.25	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:3 penalties
15.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:1
29.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:1

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