Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Long Eaton United		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	8.75	5	1.26
	7.85	6.15	1.27
	7.85	6.15	1.27
	8.5	5.45	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.24 ↑ (5.8)	5.69 ↑ (4.65)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Long Eaton United
11.1%

Draw
16.1%

Stratford Town
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.5%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

19%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stratford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stratford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Long Eaton United - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Long Eaton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stratford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Long Eaton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stratford is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stratford to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
21.11.23	Stourbridge - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
18.11.23	Long Eaton United - Stamford	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Long Eaton United - Sudbury Town	1:6 ✺
04.11.23	AFC Telford United - Long Eaton United	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Stratford Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Stratford Town - Mickleover Sports	3:2 ✺
31.10.23	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Nantwich Town - Stratford Town	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLL

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