Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Stourbridge		Long Eaton United

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.75
	1.14	6.5	15
	1.12	9.25	12.13
	1.13	9.25	12.13
	1.12	7.4	13.75
	1.14	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.45)	7.23 ↑ (4.33)	12.46 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
79.7%

Draw
12.9%

Long Eaton United
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.7%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stourbridge's performance.

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Long Eaton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stourbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Long Eaton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stourbridge - Long Eaton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Stourbridge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Long Eaton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stourbridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stourbridge is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stourbridge - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Royston Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Stourbridge - Bamber Bridge	5:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Leamington - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Stourbridge - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLL
- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Long Eaton United - Stamford	1:3 ✺
11.11.23	Long Eaton United - Sudbury Town	1:6 ✺
04.11.23	AFC Telford United - Long Eaton United	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Long Eaton United - Stourbridge	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Long Eaton United - Stourbridge	1:4

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