Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	AFC Telford United		Long Eaton United

	1	X	2
	1.21	6	9
	1.17	7.91	10.29
	1.18	7.91	10.29
	1.21	6.65	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)	7.12 ↑ (5)	9.4 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
77.3%

Draw
12.9%

Long Eaton United
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

17.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

AFC Telford United - Long Eaton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Telford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Long Eaton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Long Eaton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Telford is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
31.10.23	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Leamington - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	AFC Telford United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	AFC Telford United - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Stourbridge - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWT
- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Long Eaton United - Stourbridge	1:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
30.09.23	Alvechurch - Long Eaton United	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Redditch United - Long Eaton United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Long Eaton United - Kettering Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT

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