Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Longford Town		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.66	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.75
	4.5	3.55	1.73
	4.89	3.88	1.76
	4.4	3.4	1.75
	4.6	3.65	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.04)	3.58 ↑ (3.31)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Longford Town
20.6%

Draw
26%

Drogheda United
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.7%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Drogheda United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	4.8%	87.1%

Longford Town - Drogheda United Predictions

Users Predictions: Drogheda United will win (54 of 62 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.76% – 95.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Longford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Drogheda United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Drogheda United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Drogheda United is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Longford won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Longford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longford Town
Irish Premier Division
03.07.21	Longford Town - Sligo Rovers	0:1 ✺
25.06.21	Finn Harps - Longford Town	1:1 ✺
21.06.21	Longford Town - Waterford	1:2 ✺
18.06.21	Dundalk - Longford Town	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	Longford Town - St Patricks Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTLTL
- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
02.07.21	Drogheda United - Finn Harps	3:1 ✺
25.06.21	Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
21.06.21	Drogheda United - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
18.06.21	Bohemians Dublin - Drogheda United	5:0 ✺
12.06.21	Sligo Rovers - Drogheda United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
24.05.21	Drogheda United - Longford Town	4:1
10.04.21	Longford Town - Drogheda United	0:4
Irish Division 1
12.09.20	Longford Town - Drogheda United	1:1
28.02.20	Drogheda United - Longford Town	0:1
13.07.19	Longford Town - Drogheda United	2:1
03.05.19	Drogheda United - Longford Town	0:1
02.03.19	Longford Town - Drogheda United	3:0

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