Match Info

IRELAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: Bishopsgate (Longford)


	Longford Town		Waterford

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.02	4.42	1.6
	5.5	3.9	1.44
	5.15	4.1	1.57	Watch
	4.9	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↓ (6.09)	4.11 ↓ (5.11)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Longford Town
18%

Draw
22.4%

Waterford
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

18.2%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

18.3%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waterford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Longford Town - Waterford Predictions

Users Predictions: Waterford will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady J. (C) 21. O'Brien G. 20. O'Connor K. 6. Hand D. 13. Temple L. 14. Doona J. 16. Wixted A. 24. Hery B. 9. Magerusan C. 10. Armstrong G. 5. O'Brien Whitmarsh B.	31. Sargeant S. (G) 2. Power D. 22. Phillips G. (C) 3. Burke R. 14. Osede D. 4. O'Keeffe N. 27. McMenamy D. 7. Griffin S. 18. Cresswell C. 19. Coughlan R. 10. Parsons C.
Substitutes
17. Adeyemo J. 25. Adeyemo O. 19. Boudiaf M. 22. Campbell F. 3. Daly D. 8. Fay R. 7. Giurgi J. 12. Harrington J. (G) 11. Ibrahim J.	23. Akachukwu R. 11. Atakayi S. 8. Baggley B. 16. Baker A. 24. Cantwell K. 20. Idowu R. 1. Martin P. (G) 21. Pattisson C. 5. Perry S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Longford won 1.

Longford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Waterford United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Longford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Waterford United is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Longford won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Longford won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
08.09.23	Kerry - Longford Town	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Longford Town - Galway United	1:0 ✺
25.08.23	Finn Harps - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Longford Town - Athlone Town	2:3 ✺
07.08.23	Bray Wanderers - Longford Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.3 TWWLW
- Waterford FC
Irish Division 1
15.09.23	Waterford - Cobh Ramblers	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Finn Harps - Waterford	0:4 ✺
01.09.23	Waterford - Athlone Town	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Treaty United - Waterford	2:2 ✺
25.08.23	Bray Wanderers - Waterford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
07.07.23	Waterford - Longford Town	2:2
27.05.23	Longford Town - Waterford	0:0
24.02.23	Waterford - Longford Town	1:1
03.10.22	Longford Town - Waterford	1:2
22.07.22	Waterford - Longford Town	1:2
21.05.22	Longford Town - Waterford	0:3
01.04.22	Waterford - Longford Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches