Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Finn Harps		Longford Town

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.25	2.00
	3.35	3.40	1.90
	3.35	3.65	2.17
	3.37	3.51	1.98	Watch
	3.30	3.60	2.06
	3.36	3.35	1.96
	3.00	3.25	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.83)	3.43 ↓ (3.77)	2.02 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
28%

Draw
26.7%

Longford Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

24.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

21.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Longford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Longford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Finn Harps - Longford Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Longford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan C. (G) 2. Cullen J. 18. Harkin C. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 14. Coyle D. 8. Hutchison M. 10. McNamee T. (C) 23. Mckenlay F. 7. Benny 11. McAteer G. 28. McLaughlin A.	1. Moore K. (G) 8. Manuel P. 5. McCarthy T. 21. Hough J. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 28. Moore S. 10. Doran A. 6. Adenekan S. 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D. 15. Murtagh D.
Substitutes
16. Bosakani B. 5. Brogan O. 41. Doherty L. 3. Ferns R. 25. Lorenzo (G) 34. McAteer J. 24. McDaid A. 17. McGranaghan C. 20. Priosti G.	16. Bailey J. 18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 19. Campbell F. 22. Cioch A. 24. Dawson R. 11. Harris M. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Manuel P. 🟨,
35', O'Brien A. 🟨,
39', Hough J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Mckenlay F. 🟨,
61', Mckenlay F. ↓, Brogan O. ↑,
62', Coyle D. ↓, Ferns R. ↑,
62', McLaughlin A. ↓, Bosakani B. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Williams D. ⚽,
66', Benny 🟨,
75', McNamee T. ↓, Priosti G. ↑,
80', Williams D. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
80', Benny ↓, Doherty L. ↑,
85', Hutchison M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 1.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Longford carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Finn Harps has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Finn Harps against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Longford	34	13	9	12	47:45	2	48
10	Finn Harps	34	6	7	21	31:68	-37	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
11.09.26	Wexford - Finn Harps	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	5:4 ✺
21.08.26	Finn Harps - Cobh Ramblers	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLLL
- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
12.09.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Longford Town - Bray Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.26	Bohemians Dublin - Longford Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
03.08.26	Longford Town - Finn Harps	5:0
22.05.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	2:2
28.03.26	Longford Town - Finn Harps	0:1
05.09.25	Longford Town - Finn Harps	1:1
04.07.25	Finn Harps - Longford Town	0:0
17.05.25	Longford Town - Finn Harps	0:0
04.04.25	Finn Harps - Longford Town	1:1

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