Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eduardo Gallardo (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gil J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Los Andes		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.37	2.65	3.3
	2.39	2.65	3.55	Watch
	2.46	2.49	3.89	Watch
	2.38	2.62	3.5
	2.4	2.49	3.8
	2.39	2.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.29)	2.61 ↓ (2.84)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Andes
38.8%

Draw
35.5%

Gimnasia y Tiro
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

32.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Los Andes - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Los Andes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez S. (G) 4. Sandoval A. 2. Leizza B. 6. Marco F. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Pereira G. 5. Arce C. (C) 10. Gerzel G. 7. Gomez M. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Perez T.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 6. Tallura A. 3. Olivera L. 11. Rinaldi N. 5. Birge M. 8. Sivetti F. 10. Busse W. (C) 7. Keko 9. Contin N.
Substitutes
13. Barrientos L. 12. Brey M. (G) 15. Canete G. 14. Diaz E. 20. Diaz E. 19. Martinez F. 17. Paez A. M. 16. Sives T. 18. Villarreal F.	19. Borquez T. 20. Buter L. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 13. Monti I. 14. Morello M. 17. Rodriguez L. 18. Rojas F. 15. Vega A. 16. Villarreal R.
Coaches
Lemos L.	Quiroz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Arce C. 🟨,
45+4', Leizza B. ↓, Barrientos L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Asenjo M. 🟨,
70', Arce C. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
70', Perez T. ↓, Canete G. ↑,
73', Keko ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
77', Marco F. 🟨,
82', Gomez M. ↓, Paez A. M. ↑,
82', Gerzel G. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
82', Rinaldi N. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
83', Busse W. ↓, Morello M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Los Andes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Los Andes will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Los Andes - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Colegiales - Los Andes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWLTW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.03.25	Aldosivi - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLWT

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