Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.57	3.00	Watch
	2.60	2.65	2.90
	2.4	2.58	3.35	Watch
	2.79	2.67	3.47
	2.62	2.55	3.43	Watch
	2.65	2.45	3.4
	2.53	2.45	3.39	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.28)	2.57 ↓ (2.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
35.8%

Draw
36%

Tristán Suárez
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

34%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Tiro's form might have worsened.

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Tiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Soto G. 6. Diaz G. 3. Montoya L. 8. Banega T. 5. Sivetti F. 11. Rojas F. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Aguilar B. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Enrique M. 7. Guillen M. 8. Del Priore N. 10. Becker D. 11. Colli K. 9. Gallo A.
Substitutes
18. Birge M. 17. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 13. Guanini M. 19. Montoya W. 14. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 15. Rocca J. 16. Villarreal R.	19. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 20. Beron J. 18. Berrondo A. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Molina A. 17. Noriega L. 14. Olguin M. 16. Sanchez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Rinaldi N. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
59', Banega T. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
70', Gallo A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
70', Becker D. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
81', Colli K. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
83', Sivetti F. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
83', Aguirre J. 🟨,
85', Aguirre J. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
90+1', Guillen M. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Gimnasia y Tiro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLTW
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.26	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Tristán Suárez - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1
02.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez	1:1

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