The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 58%
Draw 22.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
22.3%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
22.2%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
4.5%
4.5%
Los Angeles - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
Los Angeles will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 24. Hollingshead R. 11. Tillman T. 6. Igor Jesus 8. Delgado M. 26. Dilrosun J. 27. Ordaz N. 99. Bouanga D.
1. Micovic N. (G) 2. Yamane M. 4. Yoshida M. 25. Garces C. 3. Aude J. 18. Reus M. 6. Cerrillo E. 8. Sanabria L. 11. Gabriel Pec 9. Matheus Nascimento 28. Paintsil J.
Substitutes
23. Amaya F. 17. Ebobisse J. 30. Martinez D. 45. Nielsen K. 18. Ochoa D. (G) 43. Saldana A. 62. Santiago J. 29. Smolyakov A. 20. Yeboah Y.
27. Berry M. 19. Cuevas M. 7. Fagundez D. 21. Lepley T. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ramirez C. 5. Zanka
Coaches
Cherundolo S.
Vanney G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Bouanga D. ⚽, Hollingshead R. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Dilrosun J. ⚽, Ordaz N. (A), Delgado M. (A2)
36', 2 - 1, Gabriel Pec (Pen),
39', Palencia S. 🟨,
45+1', Sanabria L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sanabria L. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
61', Tillman T. 🟨,
67', 3 - 1, Bouanga D. ⚽, Ordaz N. (A),
76', Ordaz N. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
76', Delgado M. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Gabriel Pec ⚽, Reus M. (A), Paintsil J. (A2)
81', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
81', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
81', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
81', Cerrillo E. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
84', Dilrosun J. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
84', Bouanga D. ↓, Yeboah Y. ↑,
90', Tillman T. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
90+1', Cuevas M. 🟨,
90+1', Fagundez D. 🟨,
90+1', Segura E. 🟥,
90+3', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
90+6', Lloris H. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, Yoshida M. ⚽, Cuevas M. (A),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3.
Los Angeles is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Los Angeles has had a series of home games.
In this match, Los Angeles is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Los Angeles: Chanot M.
(Head Injury)
Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Long A.
(Leg Injury)
Raposo R.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Aude J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:41. (average 2.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.8:1.9).