The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 64%
Draw 19.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy 16.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57%
20.3%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
19.5%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 21. Polvara D. 32. Baumgartl T. 5. MacNaughton L. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 19. Holse C. 9. Rafael Navarro 23. Matan A.
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 26. Miller H. 5. Glesnes J. (C) 15. Haak J. 3. Aude J. 17. Ruiz P. 27. Thommy E. 6. Roberto S. 76. Elgersma T. 7. Furuhashi K. 21. Taylor R.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 42. Downs D. 27. Fall F. 77. Jeong S. 39. Lundt B. (G) 99. Orozco J. 7. Ostrak T. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos
25. Garces C. 99. Joao Klauss 2. Lucas Calegari 1. Micovic N. (G) 14. Nelson J. 28. Paintsil J. 18. Reus M. 8. Sanabria L. 4. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Damet Y.
Vanney G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Holse C. ⚽, Rafael Navarro (A),
7', 2 - 0, Holse C. ⚽, Rafael Navarro (A),
12', Furuhashi K. ↓, Joao Klauss ↑,
21', 3 - 0, Holse C. ⚽, Durkin C. (A),
32', 3 - 1, Taylor R. ⚽, Thommy E. (A),
40', Durkin C. 🟨,
45', 4 - 1, Rafael Navarro (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', 5 - 1, MacNaughton L. ⚽, Matan A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Roberto S. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
53', 6 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Durkin C. (A),
60', Taylor R. ↓, Paintsil J. ↑,
61', Ruiz P. ↓, Reus M. ↑,
63', Wallem C. 🟨,
67', Aude J. 🟨,
71', 6 - 2, Joao Klauss ⚽, Reus M. (A),
73', Durkin C. ↓, Fall F. ↑,
75', Miller H. 🟨,
76', Thommy E. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
81', Rafael Navarro ↓, Becher S. ↑,
81', Holse C. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
81', Wallem C. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
90+1', Matan A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3.
St. Louis City arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
LA Galaxy shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
LA Galaxy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to St. Louis City for this game.
Confirmed absences for St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury).
Confirmed absences for LA Galaxy: Lozano H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for LA Galaxy: Joao Klauss
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for St. Louis City in today's match, at odds of 1.53.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 2.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Louis City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).
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Burki R. (C) 
Polvara D. 
Baumgartl T. 
MacNaughton L. 
Wallem C. 
Holse C. 
Rafael Navarro 
Matan A. 
Aude J. 
Roberto S. 
Furuhashi K. 
Taylor R. 
Fall F. 
Jeong S. 
Ostrak T. 
Garces C. 
Micovic N. (G) 
Paintsil J. 
Sanabria L. 
Damet Y. 
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