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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 56.3%
Draw 22.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
22%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
21.2%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 67. Harvey C. 23. Duggan M. 5. Romero N. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 22. Caldeira M. 9. Yeboah K.
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 2. Lucas Calegari 5. Glesnes J. (C) 15. Haak J. 3. Aude J. 21. Taylor R. 17. Ruiz P. 27. Thommy E. 26. Miller H. 7. Furuhashi K. 11. Lozano H.
Substitutes
8. Chancalay T. 28. Diaz J. 18. Gonzalez M. 21. Hlongwane B. 16. Jackson A. 11. Malone M. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 25. Triantis N.
76. Elgersma T. 25. Garces C. 99. Joao Klauss 1. Micovic N. (G) 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 18. Reus M. 8. Sanabria L. 4. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Knowles C.
Vanney G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ruiz P. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Caldeira M. ⚽, Trapp W. (A),
26', Taylor R. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Yeboah K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Furuhashi K. ↓, Joao Klauss ↑,
60', Miller H. ↓, Reus M. ↑,
67', Yeboah K. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
68', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
69', Thommy E. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
69', Harvey C. 🟨,
73', Duggan M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Joao Klauss ⚽, Reus M. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Reus M. ⚽, Lucas Calegari (A),
82', Trapp W. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
82', Caldeira M. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 12th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
Minnesota is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
LA Galaxy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Minnesota carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Boxall M.
(Yellow Cards)
Duncan K.
(Red Card)
Hlongwane B.
(Knee Injury)
Stroud P.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for LA Galaxy: Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
Wynder E.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for LA Galaxy: Paintsil J.
(Thigh Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:43 (averaging 1.8:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.5 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Los Angeles Galaxy: 0.86% Minnesota United: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Callender D. (G) 
Harvey C. 
Duggan M. 
Romero N. 
Duncan K. 
Gene O. 
Caldeira M. 
Yeboah K. 
Lucas Calegari 
Glesnes J. (C) 
Taylor R. 
Furuhashi K. 
Lozano H. 
Diaz J. 
Hlongwane B. 
Triantis N. 
Micovic N. (G) 
Sanabria L. 
Knowles C. 
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