Match Info

MLS

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	22:30	MLS Season Pass
International	02:30	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles Galaxy		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	2.85	Watch
	2.25	4.00	2.65
	2.22	3.85	2.85
	2.28	4.1	2.9
	2.3	4	2.71	Watch
	2.25	3.95	2.85
	2.23	3.95	2.94	Watch
	2.27	3.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.04)	3.96 ↓ (4.06)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
42.3%

Draw
24%

San Diego
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

22.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Los Angeles Galaxy - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 4 - 80%). San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 26. Miller H. 15. Haak J. 25. Garces C. 14. Nelson J. 17. Ruiz P. 18. Reus M. (C) 6. Roberto S. 21. Taylor R. 99. Joao Klauss 27. Thommy E.	13. Sisniega P. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 20. Godoy A. (C) 12. Gabriel Pirani 10. Dreyer A. 94. Bakambu C. 99. Achouri E.
Substitutes
3. Aude J. 76. Elgersma T. 5. Glesnes J. 2. Lucas Calegari 1. Micovic N. (G) 28. Paintsil J. 8. Sanabria L. 22. Wynder E. 4. Yoshida M.	1. dos Santos CJ (G) 7. Ingvartsen M. 36. Nyangono D. 90. Pellegrino A. 25. Pilcher I. 3. Thorhallsson D. 6. Tverskov J. 8. Valakari O. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽, Roberto S. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 2 - 1, Thommy E. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
35', Godoy A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Gabriel Pirani ⚽,
45+1', Joao Klauss 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Taylor R. ↓, Paintsil J. ↑,
66', Garces C. ↓, Glesnes J. ↑,
66', Bakambu C. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
66', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Tverskov J. ↑,
73', Roberto S. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
78', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
81', Miller H. ↓, Lucas Calegari ↑,
83', Achouri E. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
83', Sargeant K. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
90+3', Reus M. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 12th).

LA Galaxy is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

San Diego has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, LA Galaxy has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for LA Galaxy against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of MLS for now

Los Angeles Galaxy: 0.69% San Diego FC: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
14.10.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy	6:2 ✺
26.09.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWT
- San Diego FC
MLS
14.10.26	San Diego - Houston Dynamo	3:3 ✺
10.10.26	New York Red Bulls - San Diego	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Austin FC - San Diego	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Inter Miami - San Diego	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	San Diego - Philadelphia Union	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
29.08.26	San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:1
24.05.25	San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1
23.02.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Diego	0:2

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