Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Referee: Cornejo Melendez I. A. (Sal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Herediano

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6.25
	1.44	4.4	6.2
	1.46	4.62	7.02
	1.46	4.46	6.43	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.5	4.6	6.89	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.44 ↑ (4.05)	6.56 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF Champions Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 1

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
64.6%

Draw
21.1%

Herediano
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

19.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Galaxy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Herediano will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Herediano: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. McCarthy J. (G) 3. Aude J. 4. Yoshida M. (C) 5. Zanka 6. Cerrillo E. 11. Gabriel Pec 16. Parente I. 21. Lepley T. 26. Miller H. 7. Fagundez D. 27. Berry M.	21. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 38. Montes G. 99. Brown K. 8. Cruz A. 16. Araya D. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 24. Rodriguez S. 25. Bravo E. 19. Perez J. 23. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
51. Essengue A. 25. Garces C. 61. Karani S. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 1. Micovic N. (G) 14. Nelson J. 17. Ramirez C. 24. Ramos R. 22. Wynder E. 15. Zavaleta E.	27. Amador A. 35. Garita E. (G) 26. Juarez E. 22. Murillo A. 80. Rodriguez A. 20. Santamaria P. 17. Tejeda Y. 62. Tepa 28. Vega R. 92. Walker A. (G) 30. Williams S.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Aude J. ⚽, Parente I. (A),
36', Miller H. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Berry M. ⚽, Parente I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Araya D. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Gabriel Pec ⚽, Miller H. (A),
54', Hernandez A. ↓, Tejeda Y. ↑,
54', Rodriguez S. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
64', Perez J. ↓, Amador A. ↑,
69', Berry M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
70', Miller H. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Ramirez C. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
77', Aguilar E. ↓, Tepa ↑,
81', Cerrillo E. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
81', Gabriel Pec ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
81', Yoshida M. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Tepa ⚽, Quiros H. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

LA Galaxy has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Herediano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Herediano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match LA Galaxy is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Herediano to win the game is with odds 7.03.

Last 3 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
09.03.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - St. Louis City	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.25	Herediano - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
MLS
02.03.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Diego	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.01.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.03.25	Herediano - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.25	Herediano - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.03.25	Santa Ana - Herediano	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.02.25	Real Salt Lake - Herediano	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.02.25	Herediano - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.25	Herediano - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0
13.03.13	Los Angeles Galaxy - Herediano	4:1
07.03.13	Herediano - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:0

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