Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos Alvarado (Heredia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Costa Rica	20:00	FUTV, TDMAX


	Herediano		San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.62	3.50	4.50
	1.65	3.5	4.7	Watch
	1.66	3.86	5.39
	1.66	3.75	5.1	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.25
	1.58	3.62	5.1	Watch
	1.64	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	3.65 ↑ (3.57)	4.91 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
56.2%

Draw
25.1%

San Carlos
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

27.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for San Carlos aligns with the current prediction.

Herediano - San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Walker A. (G) 37. Fuller K. 5. Quiros H. 99. Brown K. 38. Montes G. 8. Cruz A. 28. Vargas S. 26. Juarez E. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 97. Leal R. 11. Araya R.	23. Vega J. (G) 17. Evans J. 6. Piedra Y. (C) 22. Aguero J. 16. Castillo Cespedes G. 8. Hernandez E. 10. Cerdas K. 20. Agualimpia C. 41. Pilarte J. 21. Venegas J. 9. Martinez B.
Substitutes
16. Araya D. 45. Bennette N. 25. Bravo E. 1. Carvajal D. (G) 34. Henestrosa J. 32. Hudson A. 80. Matthews D. 20. Rivera R. 21. Rubio E. 27. Suarez A.	30. Aguero P. 18. Aguilar J. 11. Cordoba R. 4. Fonseca P. 7. Guevara A. 5. Martinez C. 27. Masis D. 2. Valverde J. 77. Vega J. (G) 88. Vidal R.
Coaches
Wanchope P.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Martinez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quiros H. ↓, Araya D. ↑,
46', Vargas S. ↓, Henestrosa J. ↑,
46', Martinez B. ↓, Vidal R. ↑,
59', Juarez E. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
59', Leal R. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
64', Hernandez E. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
67', Pilarte J. ↓, Cordoba R. ↑,
75', Venegas J. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
75', Cerdas K. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
77', Cordoba R. 🟨,
79', Fuller K. ↓, Rubio E. ↑,
89', Evans J. 🟨,
90', Brown K. 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 2.

Herediano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

San Carlos is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Herediano for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Herediano has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Herediano against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	San Carlos	13	7	1	5	15:15	0	22
8	Herediano	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Herediano - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.26%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Herediano - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLW
- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.09.26	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Pérez Zeledón - San Carlos	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	San Carlos - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Alajuelense - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
14.08.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0
18.04.26	Herediano - San Carlos	1:0
22.02.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0
29.11.25	Herediano - San Carlos	3:1
24.08.25	San Carlos - Herediano	2:2
26.04.25	San Carlos - Herediano	1:1
22.02.25	Herediano - San Carlos	2:1

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