Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles Galaxy		New York City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.9
	2.28	3.7	2.92	Watch
	2.44	3.82	2.6
	2.28	3.85	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.7
	2.34	3.81	2.93	Watch
	2.45	3.66	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.44)	3.7 ↓ (3.85)	2.81 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
40.9%

Draw
25.5%

New York City
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 10 - 50%). NY City will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 50%). NY City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - LA Galaxy (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). NY City (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micovic N. (G) 2. Yamane M. 5. Glesnes J. 25. Garces C. 3. Aude J. 15. Haak J. 18. Reus M. 8. Sanabria L. 11. Gabriel Pec 99. Joao Klauss 28. Paintsil J.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 34. Raul Gustavo 13. Thiago Martins 5. Trewin K. 22. O'Toole K. 7. Mercau N. 10. Moralez M. 21. O'Neill A. 17. Wolf H. 26. Ojeda A.
Substitutes
19. Cuevas M. 21. Lepley T. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 9. Matheus Nascimento 26. Miller H. 14. Nelson J. 24. Ramos R. 4. Yoshida M.	38. Baiera D. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 55. Parks K. 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽, Reus M. (A), Paintsil J. (A2)
36', Garces C. 🟨,
42', Gray T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Trewin K. 🟨,
59', Aude J. 🟨,
65', Garces C. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Mercau N. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Reus M. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
67', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
74', O'Neill A. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
80', Gray T. ↓, Baiera D. ↑,
86', Parks K. 🟨,
88', Joao Klauss ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
88', Wolf H. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
88', Trewin K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.

NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of MLS for now

New York City: 1.05% Los Angeles Galaxy: 0.86%

Last Results with these Odds

New York City - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
CONCACAF Champions Cup
19.02.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Chicago Fire	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
MLS
18.10.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWW
- New York City FC
Club Friendly
14.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - New York City	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Los Angeles - New York City	1:1 ✺
MLS
29.11.25	Inter Miami - New York City	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Philadelphia Union - New York City	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Charlotte - New York City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	0:2
MLS
19.06.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	2:0
27.02.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	1:0
11.05.19	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	0:2
11.03.18	New York City - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1
12.08.17	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	0:2
20.08.16	New York City - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0

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