Match Info

Date: 9 February 2022, Wednesday


	Los Barrios		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.2	3	1.74
	4.5	3.15	1.69
	4.94	3.23	1.67
	5.5	4	1.44
	4.9	3.52	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (5.05)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Barrios
19.1%

Draw
26.5%

Xerez CD
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

26%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21.6%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Barrios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Barrios than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xerez CD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Barrios - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Los Barrios is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez CD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Xerez CD is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Barrios won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Los Barrios won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Los Barrios
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.02.22	Cabecense - Los Barrios	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	Los Barrios - Puente Genil	0:2 ✺
26.01.22	Conil - Los Barrios	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Sevilla C - Los Barrios	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Los Barrios - Gerena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTT
- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.02.22	Xerez CD - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Cartaya - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Córdoba B - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Xerez CD - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Puente Genil - Xerez CD	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.09.21	Xerez CD - Los Barrios	2:1
08.11.20	Xerez CD - Los Barrios	1:0
22.12.19	Xerez CD - Los Barrios	2:2
17.02.19	Xerez CD - Los Barrios	1:0
12.10.18	Los Barrios - Xerez CD	0:0

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