Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Los Barrios		Gerena

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.37
	2.7	2.9	2.32
	2.95	2.95	2.21
	3.3	2.99	2.14
	3.02	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)	2.97 ↓ (3)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Barrios
30.4%

Draw
30.2%

Gerena
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Barrios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Barrios than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Barrios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gerena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Barrios - Gerena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Los Barrios is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gerena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Los Barrios could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Los Barrios won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Los Barrios won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Los Barrios
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
18.12.21	Los Barrios - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Rota - Los Barrios	3:1 ✺
08.12.21	Los Barrios - Ciudad de Lucena	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Ceuta B - Los Barrios	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Los Barrios - Utrera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLL
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.01.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	0:2 ✺
18.12.21	Gerena - Cabecense	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Conil - Gerena	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:4 ✺
04.12.21	Antoniano - Gerena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
25.09.21	Gerena - Los Barrios	1:0
10.11.19	Gerena - Los Barrios	0:0
01.11.18	Gerena - Los Barrios	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Gerena - Los Barrios	0:0
22.10.17	Los Barrios - Gerena	1:1

Los Barrios - Gerena

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Los Barrios - Gerena Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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