Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Los Barrios		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	2.95	2.88	2.15
	2.95	2.9	2.22
	3.11	2.94	2.22
	3.08	3.13	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Barrios
29.5%

Draw
30.1%

Puente Genil
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

29.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

21.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Barrios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Barrios than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Barrios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Barrios - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Los Barrios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Puente Genil will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Los Barrios won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Los Barrios won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Los Barrios
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.01.22	Conil - Los Barrios	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Sevilla C - Los Barrios	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Los Barrios - Gerena	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Los Barrios - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Rota - Los Barrios	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTWL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.01.22	Cabecense - Puente Genil	2:0 ✺
19.01.22	Gerena - Puente Genil	5:1 ✺
23.12.21	Puente Genil - Conil	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Puente Genil - Xerez CD	3:1 ✺
12.12.21	Antoniano - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
09.10.21	Puente Genil - Los Barrios	2:3
17.11.19	Los Barrios - Puente Genil	0:3
16.09.18	Los Barrios - Puente Genil	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Los Barrios - Puente Genil	0:0

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