Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Vidigueira (Vidigueira)


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Louletano

	1	X	2
	11	4.55	1.25
	11.93	5.26	1.2
	1.00	1.00	1.02	Watch
	11	4.6	1.25
	9.6	5.05	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.91 ↑ (6.87)	4.09 ↓ (4.1)	1.19 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
9.4%

Draw
20.5%

Louletano
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

22.4%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

21.8%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louletano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-4%)

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Louletano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Ferreira L. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Ferreira L. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Baixinho A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 3, Chima ⚽,
55', 1 - 4, Brito J. ⚽,
63', 1 - 5, Leal R. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 5, Fouto G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Vasco da Gama is Relegated to

Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Vasco da Gama has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Louletano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Louletano is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vasco da Gama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vasco da Gama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.04.26	Sintrense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Portimonense B	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lagoa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
04.04.26	Louletano - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Alcochetense - Louletano	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Comércio e Indústria - Louletano	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Louletano - Serpa	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Louletano - Oriental	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.12.25	Louletano - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	0:0
25.02.24	Louletano - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1
01.11.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Louletano	3:2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Louletano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide