Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Loures		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.7	2.95	2.49
	2.73	3.01	2.68
	2.81	3	2.44
	2.75	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.16)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.57 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
33.6%

Draw
31%

União da Serra
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loures's form might have worsened.

União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loures, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for União da Serra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Loures - União da Serra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Loures will win (votes: 1 - 25%). União da Serra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Loures is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União da Serra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Loures will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Loures - Alcains	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Loures - Arronches Benfica	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Pero Pinheiro - Loures	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Loures - Coruchense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	União da Serra - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	União da Serra - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	União de Santarém - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLT

Loures - União da Serra

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Loures - União da Serra Predictions

Preview

Form

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