Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Lovech (Loveč)


	Lovech		Maritsa Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8
	1.19	5.46	11.57
	1.19	5.46	11.57
	1.2	5.61	12.7	Watch
	1.3	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.63)	5.31 ↑ (3.52)	10.37 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
74%

Draw
17.2%

Maritsa Plovdiv
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lovech's performance.

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maritsa Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lovech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maritsa Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lovech - Maritsa Plovdiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Simeonov S. (G) 11. Abdulganiyu S. 17. Bucci K. 20. Buchkov A. 18. Cubra D. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 6. Lozanov Y. 5. Minkov M. 33. Tashev G. 10. Vasilev V.	33. Nachev P. (G) 11. Aliev O. 5. Belomachev D. 24. David I. 15. Dimitrov H. 17. Domovchiyski V. (C) 8. Gaziev M. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. 13. Tanchev M. 22. Yordanov I.
Substitutes
3. Angelov A. 1. Bozhev A. (G) 21. Kapitanov I. 7. Kasov Y. 15. Marinov R. 22. Mitrevski B. 19. Nankov V. 9. Salihovic D. 4. Staykov G.	30. Hristev N. 70. Ivanov N. 28. Lutov K. 16. Mitsev R. 9. Peev A. 26. Petkov V. (G) 90. Sirakov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Litex won 1.

Litex is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maritsa Plovdiv is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Litex is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Litex won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Litex won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.24	Spartak Varna - Lovech	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Lovech - Belasitsa Petrich	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Lovech	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lovech - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWT
- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Chernomorets Balchik	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:0
18.02.23	Lovech - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:2
23.07.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:0
18.03.22	Lovech - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1
13.09.21	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	1:1
19.04.18	Maritsa Plovdiv - Lovech	0:1

Lovech - Maritsa Plovdiv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide