Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)


	Spartak Varna		Lovech

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	9
	1.29	4.51	8.61
	1.28	4.77	10.1	Watch
	1.3	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	4.57 ↓ (4.6)	9.18 ↑ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
70.2%

Draw
19.9%

Lovech
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

19.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Varna's performance.

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lovech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lovech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Varna - Lovech Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Videnov N. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 2. Boev V. 44. Granchov A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Mehmed M. 11. Mitev V. (C) 45. Nachev D. 10. Rumenov R. 6. Tsvetkov A.	99. Simeonov S. (G) 11. Abdulganiyu S. 3. Angelov A. 18. Cubra D. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. 21. Kapitanov I. (C) 5. Minkov M. 4. Staykov G. 33. Tashev G. 10. Vasilev V.
Substitutes
7. Babaliev G. 23. Georgiev G. (G) 18. Hyusein H. 78. Minkov V. 3. Petrov P. 8. Petrov T. 31. Semeniv D. 4. Terziev R. 22. Yanchev A.	1. Bozhev A. (G) 17. Bucci K. 12. Ganchev G. 7. Kasov Y. 6. Lozanov Y. 15. Marinov R. 22. Mitrevski B. 19. Nankov V. 9. Salihovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 7).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Litex could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Spartak Varna is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spartak Varna to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Varna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.05.24	Chernomorets Balchik - Spartak Varna	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Spartak Varna	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW
- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.05.24	Lovech - Belasitsa Petrich	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Lovech - Chernomorets Burgas	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Lovech	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lovech - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Lovech	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.23	Lovech - Spartak Varna	1:2
09.03.22	Lovech - Spartak Varna	2:1
22.08.21	Spartak Varna - Lovech	2:1
10.11.19	Spartak Varna - Lovech	0:4

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