The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lowestoft Town 19.3%
Draw 22.7%
Coalville Town 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
23.8%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
19.2%
65%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coalville Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lowestoft Town - Coalville Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).
Lowestoft is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Coalville is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lowestoft could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Coalville is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Lowestoft won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.