Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.9
	1.69	3.85	4.1
	1.75	4.2	3.8
	1.72	4.07	4.19
	1.68	3.84	4.11
	1.69	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	3.92 ↑ (3.88)	4.03 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
53.9%

Draw
23.4%

Lowestoft Town
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Lewis D. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Bradley A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Bavanganga J. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Fletcher J. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 8 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 2.

Stourbridge is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lowestoft is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Stourbridge is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stourbridge won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
22.10.24	Kettering Town - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.24	Lowestoft Town - Halesowen Town	0:5 ✺
26.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	2:5 ✺
19.10.24	Stratford Town - Lowestoft Town	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.04.22	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	2:0
23.10.21	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	3:0
29.02.20	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	2:0
18.02.20	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	2:1
02.02.19	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	1:0
03.11.18	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	3:1

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