Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Luarca		Caudal Deportivo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.51
	5.7	3.59	1.52
	6.31	3.75	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (4.78)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luarca
15.3%

Draw
24.8%

Caudal Deportivo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

27%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

26.7%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caudal Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caudal Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Luarca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caudal Deportivo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Caudal Deportivo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caudal Deportivo to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.02.24	Llanes - Luarca	3:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ceares - Luarca	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Luarca - Avilés Stadium	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Llanera - Luarca	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Luarca - Praviano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.02.24	Caudal Deportivo - Avilés Stadium	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Caudal Deportivo - Praviano	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Caudal Deportivo - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
15.10.23	Caudal Deportivo - Luarca	2:1
11.02.23	Caudal Deportivo - Luarca	2:0
09.10.22	Luarca - Caudal Deportivo	0:2
03.04.22	Caudal Deportivo - Luarca	2:0
21.11.21	Luarca - Caudal Deportivo	2:4

Luarca - Caudal Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide