Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Luawa		Abacha City

	1	X	2
	2.21	2.86	3.43	Watch
	2.22	2.89	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 (2.22)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luawa
41.5%

Draw
32%

Abacha City
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

32.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Abacha City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luawa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abacha City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Luawa - Abacha City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Abacha City has had a series of home games.

Luawa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Luawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Abacha City	33	8	12	13	26:38	-12	36
17	Luawa ✔	33	8	9	16	22:41	-19	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luawa FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
29.03.26	Diamond Stars - Luawa	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Wusum Stars - Luawa	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Luawa - Freetown City	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Luawa - Ports Authority	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Luawa - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLT
- Abacha City
Sierra Leone Premier League
30.03.26	Abacha City - Ports Authority	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Abacha City - Star Sport Academy	0:4 ✺
06.03.26	Abacha City - Bai Bureh Warriors	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Abacha City - Kallon	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bo Rangers - Abacha City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
13.12.25	Abacha City - Luawa	0:2
09.07.25	Luawa - Abacha City	0:1
23.03.25	Abacha City - Luawa	1:2

Luawa - Abacha City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide